Wednesday, December 11, 2013

My Research Paper "Global Warming"

Mubarak Alhajri
ENGL191
12/11/13




                                                                         
Global Warming


Introduction

The Earth’s heat is controlled by the balance of the contribution of energy from the sun and its release into the space. Particular gases regulate the balance of the hotness and are known to as greenhouse gases.  The energy that comes from the sun is in the form of short wave radiation, and one third estimation of it is redirected back to the space. The other portion is engrossed by lands or oceans after which it heats the earth surface and discharges long wave radiation. Greenhouse gases which happen obviously include water vapor, Co2, methane, ozone, and nitrous oxide which when put together builds a blanket effect which in return warms the earth. Thus, global warming is the upswing in atmospheric temperatures due to the greenhouse effect which is mainly instigated by human activities (Maslin, 2008, p. 15).

This issue has been a major concern in the 21st century.  It is the most crucial science issue facing the modern world due to the challenge it presents to the structure of the global society.  It encompasses a wide range of areas including economics, sociology, local politics, peoples’ lifestyles, and geopolitics among other areas. Increase in gases such as carbon dioxide is the major contributor of global warming which results from fossil burning and deforestation. For the last half million years, there has been a considerable increase in the level of carbon dioxide and research demonstrates that, the amount could be even higher. Scientists are also of the opinion that this is facilitating the earth to warm faster than any other past period. This is supported by the latest report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which shows that the scientific uncertainties of temperature rise are basically resolved. An analysis and review of the publication confirm that there is a 0.75 degrees Celsius increase in global temperatures and 22 cm rise in sea level in 20th century (Change, 2008, p. 18).

Present Warming and Future Trends

Weather experts believe that fast heating is as a result of human modifications to the environment and the natural disparity on a minor rate. This may arise due to human engagements such as industrial activities, land misuse, among others which enhances the alteration of the structure of Earth’s atmosphere from waste to gases.  Forecasting future climate variations will first entail the prediction of fossil-fuel and land-use sources of CO2, gases, and aerosols. The amount of Co2 in the future will heavily rely on what portions are taken up by land, and the oceans. Land exchanges are sensitive to climate change, and they vary widely depending on time and soil decomposition. The variation of climate in the forthcoming will be determined by environmental sensitivity as well as future weather set up including human activities. Upcoming Climate disparities rely on assumed situations, and IPCC has a broad range of scenarios. One of their main setting which is used in climate model studies employs quick growth rates such that annual greenhouse gas discharge continue to advance. This is a crucial scenario in the sense that it provides a sensibly large signal in studies of the replicated climate response (Change, 2008, p. 19).

The IPCC set ups include a wide range of assumptions about future economic and technological expansions, including some that permit gas emissions decreases. One key disadvantage about these molds is that there are uncertainties underlying them. This incorporates such areas as population growth, economic advancement, lifestyle selections, technological changes, and energy replacements. This avails a significant chance to study situations developed from numerous viewpoints in seeing strategies for dealing with climate change. For instance, credible suppositions for technological evolvement and human factors were seen to achieve radiate forcing. This set up aids in forecasting temperature increase of 0.75 degrees Celsius by 2050. The reason behind 2050 and not2100 is that, it is complex to foresee the technological know-hows that may sanction drop of greenhouse gas emanations by 2100 (Change, 2008, p. 19).

Impacts and Effects

There is global evidence of the impacts of climate change which is relative to both its causes and effects.  There is no specific distribution of the effects, but they vary depending on latitude, altitudes, and groups of people in some cases.  For example, certain regions may experience large number of hurricane, while others may oversee prolonged periods of drought.  Some other parts may be prone to vector diseases due to temperature increase.  Also, it may affect diverse groups of people at different degrees. This is mainly due to the coping capability of different countries and people residing in those countries. In apprehending the issues of temperature rise and its impacts, one key issue to take into consideration is that of information.  It is significant in preventing and adapting to current and future impacts of climate change. Below are the impacts and effects of global warming (Ibarrarán, 2009, p. 3).

There is vast evidence that human activities are changing the world’s climate. For many years, the earth’s atmosphere has changed very little, but in today’s society, there are difficulties in keeping the balance. Greenhouse gases are being added to the atmosphere at a devastating rate. Since the time of the industrial revolution, human acts and creations from transport, agriculture, fossil fuels, deforestation, waste disposal, land utilization, biomass burning, and industrial processes, among other things have contributed immensely to the rise in the concentrations of greenhouse gases (Casper, 2010, p. 3).  These acts are changing the environment swiftly than in the past years.  This has negatively influenced all spheres starting from environment, social, and economic sector. This rise in temperatures has caused the melting of ice sheets that cover various parts of the continents. This results to decreased amounts of fresh water available which may have severe repercussions to the people in different parts of the world. Shortage of water will then result to less food grown, which will lead to a hungry population.

Global warming has influenced ecosystems. It is one of the most controversial issues facing the society today. It entails complex and far reaching global issues that can have severe and permanent effects in the environment. This also involves personal and lifestyle choices.  While it is evident that some people may suffer the unfavorable results more than others and others may be eager to make bigger lifestyle changes, each one has a duty and stake in the outcome. In reference to the third report issued by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 2001, the data which was collected and represented air and ocean temperatures, habitat properties and wildlife patterns, demonstrated a wide range of changes.  There was the shrinking of glaciers, melting of permafrost and ice breakups on rivers, among other changes. Rise in temperatures has also led to prolonging of mid to high latitude growing seasons, shift of plant and animals’ ranges, decrease of some plant and animal populations, earlier flowering of trees, emergency of insects, and egg-laying in birds.  The connection between the changes in regional temperatures and observed variations in physical and biological settings has been renowned in many aquatic, terrestrial, and marine environments.  As the earth warms under the sway of worldwide warming, species that require cooler conditions will attempt to relocate to favorable places. They will migrate universally closer to the polar areas or locally up mountains ranges to higher elevations. Also, as the ground melts, it disrupts the physical and chemical constitutes of the ecosystem by forcing the ground to shift and settle, upsetting buildings and twisting roads and railroad tracks, as well as discharging methane gas into the atmosphere (Casper, 2010, p. 5).

There is also a change in weather patterns.  For instance, El Nino incidences have been a problem especially in the eastern Pacific. There has been a rise in extreme weather events such as hurricanes. In some geographical areas, drought has become more predominant. This is particular in Africa, Asia, Australia, and American Southwest. Migration trends are also affected; good examples are those of beluga whales, butterflies, and polar bears. Spring is approaching earlier than other times which affect the timing of bird and fish relocation, egg-laying, leaf unfolding, and spring planting for agriculture. Since 1980, growing seasons have become longer which has had detrimental consequences on food production.  Scientists foresee increase in the magnitude of these changes in the future and beyond. The major concern is that many species and ecosystems will not be in a capacity to handle or adapt quickly due to the effects of universal heating to the environment.  This will be accompanied by other changes such as floods, insect infections, and spread of diseases, wildlife, and drought. These variables have the chance to destroy habitats permanently which can be a blow to the world.  Specifically, the alpine and polar species are vulnerable to the effects of climate change due to the reason that the movement of species to higher mountains will shrink their habitats, leaving them homeless (Casper, 2010, p. 4).

Observed and Expected Effects on Ecosystem

There are numerous pieces of physical signal that scientists have already acknowledged, showing that global warming is progressing and distressing all ecosystems on Earth. Through the management of health ecological conditions, the weather experts can see the impacts climate change is having on the individual constituents that incorporate the ecosystem. Due to the reason that an ecosystem is such a firmly knit system of living things with their natural environment, a disturbance of one constituent will create a ripple effect which will see an upset to the entire ecosystem (Casper, 2010, p. 10).

There are high expectations on polar and ice-related changes. Climate change in the polar areas is foreseen to be more rapid and severe than anywhere else. If snow and ice melts, there will be an upset of the albedo of environments.  As darker surfaces increase, there will be upsurge in sunlight absorption which heats up the earth’s surface and atmosphere. Additionally, as the global species continue to relocate northward under heating temperatures, thick dark vegetation will crowd areas that were once extensive open snowfields, thereby reducing the albedo.  Rise in winter temperatures, in the past century, has ensured a decline in the depth and extent of sea ice, the melting of permafrost, and future freezing and earlier disintegration dates of winter sea ice. There is also extensive evidence that glaciers are receding in many areas of the world. This will have severe effects on feeding and breeding habits of certain animals and lifestyles of human beings thereby negatively influencing them (Casper, 2010, p. 11).

Fire and droughts are also perceived to have a wider role to play in the future. Past studies show that nights have warmed up more than days have. Since 1950s, temperatures on land have swiftly up surged. This will enhance the number of heat waves that strike urban areas causing heat associated illnesses and deaths. There are experiences of the hydrologic cycle with rise in evaporation. This will end up causing soils and vegetation to dry up. As temperature rise and flora dries out, different areas will experience drier effects under severe conditions which will cause common wildfires (Casper, 2010, p. 12).

Other observed and expected effects will be biological and physical changes. There will be advanced occurrences and spread of diseases. This will in turn expose large population to pathogens. This is because escalation in temperatures and precipitation will facilitate the spread of diseases from rodents and insects to wide areas. Also, the rising of sea levels due to crumbling of glaciers will cause coral to lose the symbiotic algae that they possess for their nourishment. This will cause them to lose their beauty and vibrant colors, the result will be a bleached rock which is white in color. Physical changes include earlier springs, longer growing seasons, change in migration patterns of animals, and the effect on breeding periods (Casper, 2010, p. 13).

Causes of Global Warming

This is an issue that requires attention from everyone. The impacts and effects experienced by the world have majorly been contributed by industrialization and progress of humankind since the past few years. Changes in climatic conditions and hence global warming can result from natural and artificial situations.  Some of the factors leading to an upswing in temperature are volcanic emissions and solar activity. Sunspots have been a major catalyst towards this upsurge, thereby affecting the time the earth takes to cool.  The sun is the major source of energy to the earth which in turn absorbs 70% of the solar flux. This increases atmospheric, land, and oceans temperatures which enhances warming. Orbital forcing is another cause of global warming. It is associated with slow tilting of the earth’s axis. This further enriches greenhouse effect which is a critical factor to the rise in temperature. This effect is caused by infrared radiations from the atmosphere, and it has facilitated the earth’s temperature by 24%. Other contributors are carbon dioxide, water vapor, methane, and ozone. The other player to temperature rise is solar variation. It changes the amount of radiant energy discharged by the sun and associates to alterations in climate and heat. Industrialization and human activities are other main players. Industrial development facilitates the concentration of Co2 and methane. Human acts include deforestation and burning of fuels which enhances the release of these gases (Haldar, 2011, p. 10).

Human Vulnerability and Challenge of Global Warming

The whole humanity is affected subject to status and level of technological expansion. Civilizations with enriched technological advancements become less reliant on the nature and are likely to cope to climate change than those with less high-tech progress. Poorer nations will experience the effects of climate change more in comparison to the richer ones.  Also, wealthier countries are more exposed to weather and climatic dangers than poorer countries (Pittock, 2009, p. 15). There are a number of tests facing the problem of climate change and increase in atmospheric heat. One, the current global patterns in power supply and intake are unsustainable in terms of the environment, economic, and socially. Securing the stream of reliable, clean and affordable energy is a major difficulty encountered by many countries! This has a direct influence in terms of the temperature rise and climate change. Also, effecting a quick transformation of low carbon and environmentally friendly systems is a key problem to major countries around the world. Averting disastrous and unalterable damage to the global climate eventually needs a chief de-carbonization of the world energy sources. This will have a positive impact in tackling the problem of global warming (Houghton, 2009, p. 381).

Solutions and Recommendations

The wide consensus among climate scientists that global temperatures will proceed to rise has led some countries, states, institutions, and individuals to implement responses. The solutions can be categorized from mitigation of the causes and effects to the varying of the global environment, and geo-engineering to divert global warming. Carbon capture and storage is one on the main preventive measure. This is further enhanced by formulation of reports and plans by responsible bodies. It is then accomplished through drops in the rate of anthropogenic greenhouse gas discharge. Another solution is adaptation. It incorporates such measures as water conservation, water rationing, and adaptive agricultural practices, among other steps. Geo-engineering is another positive step. It entails cautious adjustment of Earth’s natural environment to suit human desires. A good example is greenhouse gas remediation. Research should be carried all over the world on the matter of global warming and some approaches should be formulated to assist in solving the situation. Also, policy statements, debates and conferences should be planned to oversee the matter.  This will avail an opportunity for scientific advice that is pertinent in answering the situation (Haldar, 2011, p. 63).

Conclusion

Climate change is with the world and is anticipated to increase due to the ongoing emission of greenhouse gases as a result of the factors discussed above.  This has amplified the level of concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere which will take a considerable time to lower its presence. There is the necessity of urgent actions to thwart this situation as the upsurge in greenhouse gases has already had its impacts on climate and natural ecosystem. Every stakeholder from the private to the public sectors should play an integral part in reducing these impacts.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

References

Casper, J. K. (2010). Changing Ecosystems: Effects of Global Warming. New York: Infobase Publishing.

Change, C. o. (2008). Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions. Washington, D.C: National Academies Press.

Haldar, I. (2011). Global Warming: The Causes and Consequences. Delhi: Mind Melodies.

Houghton, J. (2009). Global Warming: The Complete Briefing. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Ibarrarán, M. E. (2009). Distributional Impacts of Climate Change and Disasters: Concepts and Cases. Cheltenham : Edward Elgar Publishing.

Maslin, M. (2008). Global Warming: A Very Short Introduction. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Pittock, A. (2009). Climate Change: The Science, Impacts and Solutions. Canbera: Csiro Publishing.

 

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